Tuesday, March 27, 2007

"What if you're wrong?"

I saw a video in which someone asks Richard Dawkins this question. I was sure I had come across this in his book, so I downloaded an illegal copy so I could look it up. It is a variation of Pascal's Wager, in which he says it is better to believe, because on the small chance you don't believe and you are wrong, you stand to gain immensely if you profess belief.

The way he answered the question in the video was to ask one of his own. He asked the person of the consequences if THEY were wrong when they discounted Zeus, Aten, or one of the other thousands of 'gods' that have been claimed throughout history. In the book he puts it this way....

Indeed, doesn't the sheer number of potential gods and goddesses on whom one might bet vitiate Pascal's whole logic? Pascal was probably joking when he promoted his wager, just as I am joking in my dismissal of it. But I have encountered people, for example in the question session after a lecture, who have seriously advanced Pascal's Wager as an argument in favour of believing in God, so it was right to give it a brief airing here.

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